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Red46
449931.6
500510.1
580015.1
Blue85
463541.1
314018.8
90735.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6567505560707580854685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.9
31.330.4
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End4.9
blue by 9.5
41.11.3
40.041.3
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End2.0
Second
5800
#18
15.10.9
18.817.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End0.4
blue by 3.7
3140
#12
18.81.3
15.416.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
Third
5005
#45
10.10.9
9.18.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.9
red by 4.7
9073
#31
5.41.3
4.86.1
Auto1.0
Teleop4.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed