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Red67
426521.8
500213.1
711120.5
Blue66
263829.9
5479.8
66525.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554802040801001206766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.2
19.720.8
Auto9.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
blue by 8.1
29.90.8
27.828.6
Auto9.3
Teleop18.2
End2.4
Second
7111
#22
20.51.2
17.819.0
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End1.0
red by 10.7
547
#41
9.81.2
10.411.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Third
5002
#36
13.11.2
11.712.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.0
red by 7.8
6652
#23
5.30.8
5.96.7
Auto1.3
Teleop3.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned