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Red46
541015.2
12022.9
500510.1
Blue78
248148.0
610710.8
943510.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4675020601001201404678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#24
22.90.1
22.522.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.8
End0.7
blue by 25.1
48.00.9
45.246.1
Auto16.9
Teleop27.7
End3.4
Second
5410
#26
15.20.1
14.214.2
Auto7.1
Teleop6.0
End2.0
red by 4.3
9435
#17
10.90.9
10.010.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Third
5005
#45
10.10.1
8.28.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.9
blue by 0.7
6107
#16
10.80.9
9.110.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed