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Red48
943510.9
50455.2
263829.9
Blue38
39668.7
970211.8
978713.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4419060801001204838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.6
22.623.2
Auto9.3
Teleop18.2
End2.4
red by 16.3
9787
#33
13.65.1
16.211.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Second
9435
#17
10.90.6
9.19.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End1.0
blue by 0.9
9702
#43
11.81.2
4.45.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
5045
#40
5.20.6
5.15.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.1
End0.3
blue by 3.5
3966
#37
8.71.3
6.98.2
Auto6.0
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed