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Red72
53812.0
314018.8
32318.6
Blue95
906722.9
93126.4
970211.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50680204060801001207295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#12
18.80.5
18.318.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
blue by 7.6
931
#14
26.40.7
25.926.6
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
323
#19
18.60.5
18.118.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 4.3
22.90.7
22.423.2
Auto11.5
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Third
538
#13
12.00.5
11.412.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
red by 0.2
9702
#43
11.80.7
11.212.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End0.7