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Red110
59728.7
804440.7
705630.3
Blue70
609036.6
40918.0
94999.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11846010015020011070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.0
39.639.6
Auto10.8
Teleop26.0
End3.8
red by 4.1
6090
#33
36.61.0
35.836.8
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End3.6
Second
7056
#34
30.30.0
30.530.5
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End2.4
red by 21.2
9499
#74
9.11.0
7.58.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Third
597
#16
28.70.0
27.827.8
Auto9.9
Teleop17.0
End1.9
red by 20.7
4091
#69
8.01.0
7.18.1
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed