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Red95
642431.4
941828.6
271828.2
Blue101
365530.3
235733.7
325626.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999870809011012095101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#30
31.40.1
31.331.4
Auto9.5
Teleop18.2
End3.7
blue by 2.3
33.70.4
34.234.6
Auto10.5
Teleop17.9
End5.3
Second
9418
#45
28.60.1
28.528.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End2.0
blue by 1.7
3655
#13
30.30.4
29.930.3
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.7
Third
2718
#25
28.20.1
28.328.4
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End1.5
red by 2.1
3256
#44
26.10.4
25.726.1
Auto11.2
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed81%Ensemble oddsEarned