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Red140
461347.4
35340.0
949642.6
Blue129
133919.0
167858.3
496731.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210650150200140129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.7
45.245.9
Auto12.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
blue by 10.9
58.31.9
54.956.9
Auto18.1
Teleop32.7
End7.5
Second
9496
#23
42.60.7
41.241.9
Auto15.9
Teleop25.3
End1.5
red by 11.1
4967
#38
31.61.9
28.029.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.8
End3.6
Third
353
#3
40.00.7
37.638.3
Auto12.4
Teleop24.0
End3.6
red by 21.0
1339
#61
19.01.9
17.119.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
100%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsEarned83%Ensemble oddsEarned