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Red139
603635.3
494638.7
327642.9
Blue110
496731.6
940627.1
23130.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11596050150200139110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#24
42.92.1
36.839.0
Auto12.8
Teleop25.9
End4.2
red by 11.3
4967
#38
31.60.4
33.233.6
Auto8.2
Teleop19.8
End3.6
Second
4946
#15
38.72.1
34.937.0
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End5.1
red by 8.5
231
#14
30.20.4
29.129.6
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Third
6036
#46
35.32.1
30.232.3
Auto8.4
Teleop26.5
End0.4
red by 8.2
9406
#56
27.10.4
27.227.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsEarned