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Red79
376732.7
463920.2
427232.7
Blue107
307036.2
1635.9
449938.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310940608010012014016079107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#32
32.70.6
28.928.4
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End2.9
blue by 6.0
4499
#11
38.70.7
30.431.1
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End5.7
Second
4272
#12
32.70.6
34.133.5
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.6
blue by 3.5
3070
#22
36.20.7
36.337.0
Auto12.7
Teleop20.5
End3.0
Third
4639
#59
20.20.6
22.722.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End3.7
blue by 15.7
16
#41
35.90.7
30.030.6
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsEarned