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Red86
805418.2
420640.1
40918.0
Blue77
80569.9
370729.9
694127.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68782040601001208677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#27
40.11.2
34.233.0
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End1.9
red by 10.2
3707
#55
29.90.2
28.728.8
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End3.9
Second
8054
#52
18.21.2
20.419.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End0.6
blue by 9.0
6941
#62
27.20.2
29.729.9
Auto12.1
Teleop14.3
End0.8
Third
4091
#69
8.01.4
7.76.3
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 1.9
8056
#68
9.90.2
10.911.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsMissed