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Red94
171432.0
851732.6
85732.1
Blue95
167858.3
463920.2
271828.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901204060801001401601809495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#39
32.60.3
29.930.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End3.4
blue by 25.7
58.31.0
56.755.7
Auto18.1
Teleop32.7
End7.5
Second
857
#17
32.10.3
28.028.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End3.7
red by 3.9
2718
#25
28.21.0
26.525.4
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End1.5
Third
1714
#54
32.00.3
27.127.3
Auto11.0
Teleop19.9
End1.1
red by 11.8
4639
#59
20.21.0
22.121.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed78%Ensemble oddsEarned