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Red100
1635.9
299230.7
712122.1
Blue103
35340.0
656925.9
516634.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9096020406080120140160100103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#41
35.91.2
30.631.8
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End2.6
blue by 4.1
353
#3
40.01.1
34.635.7
Auto12.4
Teleop24.0
End3.6
Second
2992
#35
30.71.2
30.031.2
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.8
blue by 3.3
34.01.1
29.730.8
Auto11.1
Teleop19.8
End3.1
Third
7121
#48
22.11.2
21.322.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 3.8
6569
#50
25.91.1
21.923.0
Auto6.1
Teleop17.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsEarned