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Red62
941828.6
116830.4
97178.4
Blue124
740741.9
496731.6
388019.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73932040608010012014016062124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1168
#51
30.40.4
33.132.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.3
End0.5
blue by 11.5
41.92.7
34.236.9
Auto13.1
Teleop22.6
End6.2
Second
9418
#45
28.60.4
25.825.4
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End2.0
blue by 3.0
4967
#38
31.62.7
30.933.6
Auto8.2
Teleop19.8
End3.6
Third
9717
#71
8.40.4
9.28.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 11.3
3880
#18
19.72.7
16.719.4
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed72%Ensemble oddsEarned