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Red92
603635.3
705630.3
463920.2
Blue81
801133.1
325626.1
299230.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831022040601209281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#46
35.31.0
28.129.1
Auto8.4
Teleop26.5
End0.4
red by 2.3
8011
#40
33.11.2
29.828.6
Auto13.8
Teleop14.3
End5.1
Second
7056
#34
30.31.0
28.029.0
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End2.4
blue by 0.4
2992
#35
30.71.2
31.230.1
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.8
Third
4639
#59
20.21.0
21.122.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End3.7
blue by 5.9
3256
#44
26.11.2
28.727.5
Auto11.2
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned