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Red80
198218.1
365530.3
316132.8
Blue97
12018.7
740741.9
85732.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899560801201408097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#20
32.80.1
34.434.3
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End2.4
blue by 9.1
41.90.4
36.937.4
Auto13.1
Teleop22.6
End6.2
Second
3655
#13
30.30.1
29.429.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.7
blue by 1.8
857
#17
32.10.4
28.328.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End3.7
Third
1982
#58
18.10.1
17.417.3
Auto7.4
Teleop8.4
End2.3
blue by 0.6
120
#70
18.70.4
20.420.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsEarned