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Red85
599619.1
496731.6
491731.7
Blue40
40918.0
473836.1
12018.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87790501001502008540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#31
31.70.0
32.332.3
Auto8.6
Teleop20.6
End2.6
blue by 4.4
4738
#42
36.12.2
39.237.0
Auto10.5
Teleop23.1
End2.4
Second
4967
#38
31.60.0
31.231.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.8
End3.6
red by 12.8
120
#70
18.72.2
22.920.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
Third
5996
#43
19.10.0
14.214.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End2.7
red by 11.1
4091
#69
8.02.9
10.67.7
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed