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Red84
496731.6
801133.1
35411.1
Blue53
94265.4
85732.1
694127.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85682040601001201408453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8011
#40
33.10.4
28.628.2
Auto13.8
Teleop14.3
End5.1
red by 0.9
857
#17
32.10.7
28.728.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End3.7
Second
4967
#38
31.60.4
33.633.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.8
End3.6
red by 4.4
6941
#62
27.20.7
29.128.4
Auto12.1
Teleop14.3
End0.8
Third
354
#67
11.10.4
12.812.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End0.3
red by 5.7
9426
#57
5.40.7
5.64.9
Auto3.7
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed