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Red69
940627.1
663925.6
376732.7
Blue81
59728.7
805418.2
23130.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858670758090951006981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#32
32.70.5
29.528.9
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End2.9
red by 2.5
231
#14
30.21.3
28.927.7
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Second
9406
#56
27.10.5
27.627.1
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End0.7
blue by 1.6
597
#16
28.71.3
26.825.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.0
End1.9
Third
6639
#37
25.60.5
19.719.2
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End1.8
red by 7.4
8054
#52
18.21.3
22.120.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned