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Red126
85732.1
804440.7
316132.8
Blue67
35340.0
494638.7
288324.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106120608014016018020012667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.2
36.938.1
Auto10.8
Teleop26.0
End3.8
red by 0.7
353
#3
40.02.6
40.037.4
Auto12.4
Teleop24.0
End3.6
Second
3161
#20
32.81.2
32.934.1
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End2.4
blue by 5.9
4946
#15
38.72.6
37.534.9
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End5.1
Third
857
#17
32.11.2
27.729.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End3.7
red by 7.7
2883
#53
24.52.6
29.126.5
Auto11.0
Teleop9.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed72%Ensemble oddsEarned