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Red130
207547.1
902335.4
740741.9
Blue149
126143.1
172927.1
949642.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401236080100160180200130149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#21
47.10.0
47.047.1
Auto14.3
Teleop28.4
End4.4
red by 3.9
1261
#29
43.10.4
43.143.6
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End2.0
Second
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto13.1
Teleop22.6
End6.2
blue by 0.7
9496
#23
42.60.4
42.743.1
Auto15.9
Teleop25.3
End1.5
Third
9023
#19
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto12.1
Teleop21.7
End1.6
red by 8.3
27.10.4
27.127.6
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.9