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Red98
949642.6
172927.1
126143.1
Blue109
223134.4
235733.7
494638.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271198010014016098109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#29
43.10.5
43.643.1
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End2.0
red by 4.5
4946
#15
38.70.0
39.239.2
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End5.1
Second
9496
#23
42.60.5
43.142.6
Auto15.9
Teleop25.3
End1.5
red by 8.2
2231
#36
34.40.0
35.035.0
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End4.1
Third
27.10.5
27.627.1
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.9
blue by 6.6
33.70.0
34.334.3
Auto10.5
Teleop17.9
End5.3