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Red166
461347.4
420640.1
167858.3
Blue81
223134.4
235733.7
494638.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621165010015020016681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.3
56.757.0
Auto18.1
Teleop32.7
End7.5
red by 19.6
4946
#15
38.70.6
39.839.1
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End5.1
Second
47.40.3
45.746.1
Auto12.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
red by 13.0
2231
#36
34.40.6
35.534.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End4.1
Third
4206
#27
40.10.3
38.538.8
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End1.9
red by 6.4
33.70.6
34.834.2
Auto10.5
Teleop17.9
End5.3