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Red19
54373.5
605512.7
379216.5
Blue44
234111.4
178124.2
804417.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30562040801944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.51.3
12.511.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 7.7
24.21.2
22.521.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Second
6055
#22
12.71.3
10.18.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 5.3
8044
#17
17.91.2
14.313.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Third
5437
#25
3.51.3
7.76.5
Auto0.7
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 7.9
2341
#16
11.41.2
11.09.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed