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Red25
235719.8
90732.6
618611.1
Blue51
103816.1
410716.7
433621.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304501020405060702551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.5
14.013.5
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 1.4
4336
#18
21.21.3
13.815.2
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Second
6186
#14
11.10.5
6.96.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End0.4
blue by 5.5
4107
#20
16.71.3
9.510.9
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
9073
#26
2.60.5
8.47.9
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 13.5
16.11.3
15.616.9
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed