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Red43
618611.1
500210.8
1622.9
Blue25
21907.2
942910.0
299222.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4339253035455055604325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
22.90.3
18.318.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.8
End1.2
red by 0.3
2992
#11
22.61.2
18.317.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Second
6186
#14
11.10.3
8.99.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End0.4
red by 1.1
9429
#23
10.00.3
8.27.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End1.2
Third
5002
#12
10.80.3
11.011.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End0.8
red by 3.7
2190
#21
7.21.2
8.67.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed