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Red50
178124.2
500210.8
393731.3
Blue38
235719.8
752522.2
96084.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71442060801005038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.2
25.624.3
Auto9.3
Teleop19.8
End2.2
red by 9.1
22.20.6
20.920.4
Auto11.9
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Second
24.21.2
22.020.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
red by 4.4
19.80.6
17.517.0
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Third
5002
#12
10.81.2
13.512.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End0.8
red by 5.9
9608
#27
4.90.6
4.64.1
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed