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Red28
74837.5
54373.5
361617.6
Blue64
235719.8
310218.1
32314.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275702040801002864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#15
17.60.0
14.514.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
blue by 2.2
19.81.2
16.217.4
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Second
7483
#24
7.50.0
7.37.2
Auto1.4
Teleop5.6
End0.6
blue by 10.5
18.11.2
19.720.9
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
5437
#25
3.50.0
6.66.5
Auto0.7
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 11.3
323
#13
14.71.2
12.113.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned