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Red55
804417.9
906713.9
235719.8
Blue42
32314.7
410716.7
90732.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563620801005542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.1
18.018.1
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End2.4
red by 3.1
4107
#20
16.70.5
16.517.0
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Second
8044
#17
17.90.1
16.917.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
red by 3.2
323
#13
14.70.6
15.816.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Third
9067
#19
13.90.1
13.513.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
red by 11.3
9073
#26
2.60.5
2.73.3
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed