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Red70
1622.9
393731.3
65863.8
Blue43
906713.9
361617.6
500210.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594420801007043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.3
29.329.6
Auto9.3
Teleop19.8
End2.2
red by 13.7
3616
#15
17.60.0
17.317.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Second
16
#1
22.90.3
20.921.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.8
End1.2
red by 9.0
9067
#19
13.90.0
13.613.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Third
6586
#28
3.80.3
1.82.1
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 7.0
5002
#12
10.80.0
10.610.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End0.8