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Red75
410716.7
299222.6
804417.9
Blue20
162215.0
379216.5
90732.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions683602060801001207520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#11
22.60.2
22.823.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 6.1
16.50.4
17.216.9
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Second
8044
#17
17.90.2
18.218.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
red by 3.0
15.00.4
15.715.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
4107
#20
16.70.2
16.917.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 14.1
9073
#26
2.60.4
3.32.9
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.3