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Red32
50026.7
99888.7
906720.3
Blue25
1628.5
748311.4
99897.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486102040801001201401603225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.0
22.922.0
Auto11.7
Teleop6.8
End2.0
blue by 8.2
16
#2
28.52.1
35.933.9
Auto8.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Second
8.71.6
7.76.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 2.7
7483
#11
11.42.1
12.110.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
5002
#12
6.71.0
15.814.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
blue by 0.9
9989
#13
7.63.4
7.74.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed