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Red44
99864.9
545420.9
50456.7
Blue34
99888.7
906720.3
65862.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373302060801004434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.6
20.621.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End0.7
red by 0.6
20.30.1
20.620.8
Auto11.7
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Second
5045
#10
6.70.6
5.76.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 2.0
8.70.2
9.19.3
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Third
4.90.9
3.44.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.5
red by 2.1
2.80.1
2.22.3
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed