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Red70
99850.7
1628.5
545420.9
Blue40
50026.7
906720.3
99888.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573402040801001207040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#2
28.50.4
28.829.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
red by 8.2
20.30.0
20.820.7
Auto11.7
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Second
20.90.4
21.221.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End0.7
red by 12.2
8.70.1
9.39.2
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Third
0.70.5
0.91.4
Auto2.0
Teleop-2.5
End1.1
blue by 6.0
5002
#12
6.70.0
7.17.1
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3