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Red31
598511.6
650816.6
47394.7
Blue35
587610.5
533111.4
99868.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403302060801001203135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6508
#13
16.60.3
20.019.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
red by 5.2
11.40.3
10.210.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Second
5985
#11
11.60.3
10.910.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
red by 1.1
5876
#12
10.50.3
11.812.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Third
4739
#18
4.70.3
4.44.1
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
blue by 4.2
8.90.5
8.28.7
Auto5.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed