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Red91
861328.7
743321.3
651022.9
Blue35
533111.4
99858.2
650816.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93410501509135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.8
32.231.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End2.0
red by 12.1
6508
#13
16.60.7
20.620.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Second
22.90.8
22.822.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End1.2
red by 11.5
11.40.7
13.312.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
21.31.0
22.921.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End1.9
red by 13.2
9985
#24
8.20.9
9.38.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed