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Red17
598511.6
587610.5
99919.1
Blue74
743321.3
47394.7
461341.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2187040601001201401601774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#11
11.60.7
10.810.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 29.6
41.20.1
46.045.9
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Second
5876
#12
10.50.7
11.110.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.6
blue by 10.8
21.30.1
20.820.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Third
9991
#21
9.11.2
5.74.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 4.4
4739
#18
4.70.1
3.83.7
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed