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Red23
47297.5
91449.4
598511.6
Blue23
533111.4
99919.1
64765.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29260204060802323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#11
11.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
red by 0.2
11.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Second
9144
#16
9.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End1.1
red by 0.3
9991
#21
9.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Third
7.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End2.1
red by 1.7
6476
#19
5.8
Auto1.0
Teleop3.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed