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Red48
587610.5
461341.2
99924.8
Blue33
59881.7
477422.2
99887.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69290204060801001204833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.7
41.640.9
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End1.7
red by 19.0
4774
#15
22.20.2
22.222.4
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Second
5876
#12
10.50.7
11.410.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.6
red by 3.3
9988
#22
7.30.2
6.76.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
9992
#17
4.80.9
5.44.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.7
red by 3.1
5988
#10
1.70.2
1.71.9
Auto0.0
Teleop1.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed