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Red54
643413.1
313225.9
99924.8
Blue47
47297.5
758310.4
99887.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512404060801005447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.2
25.625.9
Auto12.4
Teleop11.3
End2.1
red by 15.5
7583
#20
10.40.3
10.110.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Second
13.10.2
12.913.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 5.6
7.50.3
7.37.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Third
9992
#17
4.80.3
4.54.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 2.5
9988
#22
7.30.3
6.97.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End0.6