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Red9
957412.1
533113.3
88441.9
Blue54
587614.1
881425.8
71287.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3644102030405060954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5331
#25
13.32.9
10.77.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End1.0
blue by 12.5
25.81.5
17.919.4
Auto15.4
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Second
9574
#15
12.12.9
14.711.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7
blue by 2.0
5876
#10
14.11.5
7.79.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Third
8844
#47
1.92.9
7.84.8
Auto0.3
Teleop1.2
End0.4
blue by 5.5
7128
#39
7.41.5
13.114.6
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned