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Red25
453713.5
96167.8
55643.5
Blue60
959916.8
558425.4
756112.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274101020506070802560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4537
#13
13.51.4
9.98.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End1.0
blue by 11.9
25.42.8
16.419.2
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End3.3
Second
9616
#30
7.81.4
9.88.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.9
blue by 8.9
9599
#24
16.82.8
12.915.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
Third
5564
#40
3.51.4
5.94.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 8.7
7561
#34
12.22.8
5.78.5
Auto6.7
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed