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Red43
453713.5
95878.1
942711.6
Blue35
64765.3
943310.2
608315.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3226010204050604335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4537
#13
13.50.5
9.910.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End1.0
blue by 2.2
6083
#33
15.80.1
10.310.4
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
Second
9427
#20
11.60.5
10.711.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.6
red by 1.4
9433
#16
10.20.1
10.610.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End2.8
Third
9587
#36
8.10.5
7.78.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.6
red by 2.8
6476
#29
5.30.1
3.33.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned