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Red40
477425.5
959916.8
71287.4
Blue55
756112.2
481710.7
75839.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5624040801004055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.7
22.721.9
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 13.3
7561
#34
12.21.1
8.69.7
Auto6.7
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Second
9599
#24
16.80.7
14.113.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
red by 6.0
4817
#11
10.70.6
8.39.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Third
7128
#39
7.40.7
9.89.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End2.2
blue by 2.4
7583
#31
9.81.1
8.69.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed