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Red57
77387.7
749711.7
801132.6
Blue63
648713.8
914713.0
699616.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54320204060801005763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.7
28.228.9
Auto17.1
Teleop11.7
End3.8
red by 15.9
6996
#14
16.71.8
12.714.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End1.4
Second
7497
#43
11.70.7
9.19.7
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 2.1
6487
#28
13.81.8
10.512.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Third
7738
#35
7.70.7
8.89.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End0.2
blue by 5.3
9147
#17
13.01.8
8.710.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed