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Red38
47395.2
425320.2
77387.7
Blue49
478817.9
643211.7
453713.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30460102040506070803849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.6
18.919.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End0.4
red by 2.2
4788
#12
17.91.1
17.115.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Second
7738
#35
7.70.9
7.78.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End0.2
blue by 5.8
4537
#13
13.51.1
11.910.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Third
4739
#46
5.20.9
2.43.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End0.2
blue by 6.5
6432
#19
11.71.1
10.89.7
Auto6.1
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned