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Red50
699616.7
477425.5
941110.6
Blue34
533113.3
75839.8
425320.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54442060801005034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.2
24.825.0
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 5.3
20.20.7
19.518.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End0.4
Second
6996
#14
16.70.2
13.213.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End1.4
red by 3.3
5331
#25
13.31.1
10.59.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End1.0
Third
9411
#26
10.60.2
9.79.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 0.8
7583
#31
9.81.1
10.99.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed