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Red7
61915.1
587614.1
64765.3
Blue35
481710.7
643211.7
96167.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2730010204050735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5876
#10
14.12.1
9.17.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.5
red by 2.5
6432
#19
11.70.8
8.99.7
Auto6.1
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Second
6476
#29
5.32.1
7.95.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
blue by 5.4
4817
#11
10.70.7
7.48.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Third
6191
#41
5.12.1
8.66.6
Auto1.1
Teleop2.5
End1.6
blue by 2.7
9616
#30
7.82.1
7.810.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed