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Red65
749711.7
651022.9
881425.8
Blue70
478817.9
959916.8
699616.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6851204060801001206570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.1
25.725.8
Auto15.4
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 7.9
4788
#12
17.90.4
17.017.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Second
22.90.1
22.722.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End1.9
red by 6.1
9599
#24
16.80.4
15.816.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
Third
7497
#43
11.70.1
11.511.6
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 5.0
6996
#14
16.70.4
15.716.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End1.4