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Red4
99851.9
99924.2
99931.8
Blue13
99919.3
94339.1
71137.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282801020405060413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9992
Unranked
4.20.9
4.23.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
blue by 5.1
9991
Unranked
9.31.2
3.92.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Second
9985
Unranked
1.90.9
4.03.1
Auto0.2
Teleop1.1
End0.6
blue by 7.3
9433
Unranked
9.10.7
10.39.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Third
9993
Unranked
1.80.9
4.23.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
blue by 6.1
7113
Unranked
7.81.2
10.18.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed